NFL playoff picture Week 13: Bears take NFC's top spot, AFC South changes hands

Every week for the duration of the2025 regular season,USA TODAY Sportswill provide timely updates to theNFL's ever-evolving playoff picture − typically starting Sunday afternoon and then moving forward for the remainder of the week (through Monday's and Thursday's games or Saturday's, if applicable. And, when the holidays roll around, we'll be watching then, too).

What just happened? What does it mean? What are the pertinent factors (and, perhaps, tiebreakers) prominently in play as each conference's seven-team bracket begins to crystallize? All will be explained and analyzed up to the point when the postseason field is finalized on Sunday, Jan. 4.

Here's where things stand withWeek 13underway:

<p style=Week 1: Detroit Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa (18) makes a catch for a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field. The play was originally ruled an incomplete pass, but the call was overturned. Despite TeSlaa's effort, the Packers won the game 27-13.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Week 1: The New England Patriots' Robert Spillane (14) and Christian Elliss (53) tackle Las Vegas Raiders tight end Michael Mayer (87) during the second half at Gillette Stadium. The Raiders won the game, 20-13. Week 1: New York Giants quarterback Russell Wilson (3) fumbles the ball on a tackle by Washington Commanders safety Will Harris (3) during the first quarter at Northwest Stadium. It was a rough Giants debut for Wilson (17 of 37 passing for 168 yards) as the Commanders won the game, 21-6. Week 1: Fireworks go off before the NFL Kickoff Game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field. The defending Super Bowl champion Eagles opened the season with a 24-20 victory over their longtime NFC East rivals.

Best images of the 2025 NFL season

Week 1: Detroit Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa (18)makes a catch for a touchdownagainst the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter at Lambeau Field. The play was originally ruled an incomplete pass, but the call was overturned. Despite TeSlaa's effort, the Packers won the game 27-13.

NFC playoff picture

1.Chicago Bears(9-3), NFC North leaders:With back-to-back victories over winning adversaries − in conjunction with the Rams' stunning loss Sunday − theBearshave now rocketed to the top of the conference. Chicago's 6-2 record in NFC games sends LA (4-3) down a spot.Remaining schedule: atPackers, vs.Browns, vs. Packers, at 49ers, vs.Lions

2.Los Angeles Rams(9-3), NFC West leaders:Carolina snapped their NFC-high six-game winning streak in rainy Charlotte, a loss that dropped LA out of the conference's top spot.Remaining schedule: at Cardinals, vs. Lions, atSeahawks, at Falcons, vs. Cardinals

3.Philadelphia Eagles(8-4), NFC East leaders:Two losses in a row not only mean a lot more scrutiny but − beware − a team that could fall into the Cowboys' clutches in the division if it's not careful.Remaining schedule: at Chargers, vs. Raiders, atCommanders, atBills, vs. Commanders

4.Tampa Bay Buccaneers(7-5), NFC South leaders:They narrowly beat Arizona to narrowly maintain their half-game lead over Carolina in the division.Remaining schedule: vs.Saints, vs. Falcons, atPanthers, atDolphins, vs. Panthers

5.Seattle Seahawks(9-3), wild card No. 1:All three of the 'Hawks' losses are against NFC opponents, including two in the division − defeats that won't serve them well in the tiebreaker department. Seattle's Week 11 loss to the Rams meant they couldn't move up Sunday ... but they are otherwise tied for first place in the NFC West.Remaining schedule: at Falcons, vs. Colts, vs. Rams, at Panthers, at 49ers

6.Green Bay Packers(8-3-1), wild card No. 2:They merely maintained their standing (for now) with their Thanksgiving win at Detroit, but a loss would have dropped them from the field entirely. A thin margin for the Pack to be sure ... yet they remain just a half-game off the NFC North lead, too.Remaining schedule: vs. Bears, atBroncos, at Bears, vs.Ravens, atVikings

7.San Francisco 49ers(9-4), wild card No. 3:They now have a 1½-game lead on their wild-card pursuers after Sunday's win, but are only a half-game behind the Rams for the NFC West lead.Remaining schedule: BYE, vs. Titans, at Colts, vs. Bears, vs. Seahawks

8.Detroit Lions(7-5), in the hunt:Getting swept by the Packers further entrenches Detroit, which could have moved into a wild-card slot with a Turkey Day win, on the outside of the field. Huge game this Thursday night with Dallas.Remaining schedule: vs. Cowboys, at Rams, vs. Steelers, at Vikings, at Bears

9.Dallas Cowboys(6-5-1), in the hunt:Three wins in a row further fuels playoff aspirations in Big D. Week 14's game in Detroit looms as massive − and potentially must-win − for the Cowboys and Lions.Remaining schedule: at Lions, vs. Vikings, vs. Chargers, at Commanders, atGiants

10.Carolina Panthers(7-6), in the hunt:A shocking upset of the Rams on Sunday reaffirms the Panthers as an outfit to be reckoned with, though they didn't gain any ground in the wild-card or divisional races (on a day when they could have gone into first place had Tampa Bay lost).Remaining schedule: BYE, at Saints, vs.Buccaneers, vs. Seahawks, at Buccaneers

AFC playoff picture

1.New England Patriots(10-2), AFC East leaders:Week 12's narrow defeat of theBengalsgave the Pats the league's best record, moving them past Denver and into the conference's top spot. Good chance they hold onto it when they hit their off week.Remaining schedule: vs. Giants, BYE, vs. Bills, at Ravens, at Jets, vs. Dolphins

2.Denver Broncos(9-2), AFC West leaders:Being idle during Week 12 cost them first place in the conference, but you can bet the break was welcome − especially for a team that will need to be close to fully charged for a brutal four-game stretch at the end of its regular season.Remaining schedule: at Commanders, at Raiders, vs. Packers, vs.Jaguars, at Chiefs, vs. Chargers

3.Jacksonville Jaguars(8-4),AFC South leaders:Their win in Nashville coupled with Indy's loss moves the Jags into first place by virtue of the common-games played tiebreaker, which they own by a one-win advantage. Slide back later, and victories over the Chiefs and Chargers could serve them well when it's time to sort out tiebreakers.Remaining schedule: vs. Colts, vs. Jets, at Broncos, vs. Colts, at Titans

4.Pittsburgh Steelers(6-5),AFC North leaders:Baltimore's Thanksgiving loss restores them to first place. A win over Buffalo on Sunday would help a lot more.Remaining schedule: vs. Bills, at Ravens, vs. Dolphins, at Lions, at Browns, vs. Ravens

5.Indianapolis Colts(8-4),wild card No. 1:They've dropped three of their past four to fall off the conference pace ... and have now ceded first place in the AFC South to Jacksonville after Sunday's loss to Houston. And the schedule doesn't let up the rest of the way out.Remaining schedule: at Seahawks, vs. 49ers, vs. Jaguars, atTexans

6.Los Angeles Chargers(7-4), wild card No. 2:They needed last week off ... and Buffalo's Week 12 loss granted the battered Bolts improved positioning.Remaining schedule: vs. Raiders, vs. Eagles, at Chiefs, at Cowboys, vs. Texans, at Broncos

7.Buffalo Bills(7-4), wild card No. 3:QB Josh Allen took a beating− as did the Bills' hopes of catching the Patriots in the AFC East race in their most recent loss to Houston. A 4-3 record in conference games leaves Buffalo behind the Chargers in the wild-card seeding.Remaining schedule: at Steelers, vs. Bengals, at Patriots, at Browns, vs. Eagles, vs. Jets

8.Houston Texans(7-5), in the hunt:They've won five of six, including four in a row. If they want to win the AFC South for a third straight year, the Texans likely need to sweep the Colts − and they took their first step toward that with Sunday's win at Indy − while continuing their surge.Remaining schedule: at Chiefs, vs. Cardinals, vs. Raiders, at Chargers, vs. Colts

9.Kansas City Chiefs(6-6), in the hunt:Not only will they almost certainly not win the AFC West for the first time since 2015, they could well miss the postseason for the first time since 2014 − Andy Reid's second year in K.C. And don't forget they've lost to the Broncos, Chargers, Bills and Jags, who are all ahead of them.Remaining schedule: vs. Texans, vs. Chargers, at Titans, vs. Broncos, at Raiders

10.Baltimore Ravens(6-6),in the hunt:A sloppy performance against the Bengalscost them first place in the AFC North and a slot in the projected playoff field. Unlike several other squads, the Ravens are also on the wrong side of a head-to-head tiebreaker with Kansas City.Remaining schedule: vs. Steelers, at Bengals, vs. Patriots, at Packers, at Steelers

NFL teams eliminated from playoff contention in 2025

▶New York Giants

▶Arizona Cardinals

▶New Orleans Saints

▶Tennessee Titans

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This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:NFL playoff picture Week 13: Bears now No. 1 seed in NFC

NFL playoff picture Week 13: Bears take NFC's top spot, AFC South changes hands

Every week for the duration of the2025 regular season,USA TODAY Sportswill provide timely updates to theNFL's ever-e...
Georgia is new No. 3 behind Ohio State, Indiana in AP Top 25

The Big Ten Conference championship game will be a battle of the top two teams in the Associated Press Top 25 poll as No. 1 Ohio State faces No. 2 Indiana at Indianapolis on Saturday.

Beyond that pair, the top five of the most recent poll Sunday was a bit scrambled with Georgia and Oregon moving up one spot to No. 3 and No. 4, respectively. No. 5 Texas Tech jumped up two spots after a 49-0 blowout victory at West Virginia.

Texas A&M tumbled four spots to No. 7 after the Aggies lost for the first time this season, 27-17 at Texas.

While Miami and Vanderbilt each earned convincing victories, Miami moved up one spot to No. 12, while Vanderbilt dropped a spot to No. 13. No. 14 Texas moved up two spots.

Michigan fell three spots to No. 18 after its 27-9 loss to Ohio State, while James Madision, the highest-ranked Group of Five team, moved up a spot to No. 19.

No. 22 Arizona, No. 23 Navy and No. 25 Missouri all entered the Top 25 this week, while Tennessee, Pittsburgh and SMU fell out of the poll. Navy is set to face Army on Dec. 13.

Associated Press Top 25

1. Ohio State (12-0)

2. Indiana (12-0)

3. Georgia (11-1)

4. Oregon (11-1)

5. Texas Tech (11-1)

6. Ole Miss (11-1)

7. Texas A&M (11-1)

8. Oklahoma (10-2)

9. Notre Dame (10-2)

10. Alabama (10-2)

11. BYU (11-1)

12. Miami (10-2)

13. Vanderbilt (10-2)

14. Texas (9-3)

15. Utah (10-2)

16. Virginia (10-2)

17. USC (9-3)

18. Michigan (9-3)

19. James Madison (11-1)

20. North Texas (11-1)

21. Tulane (10-2)

22. Arizona (9-3)

23. Navy (9-2)

24. Georgia Tech (9-3)

25. Missouri (8-4)

--Field Level Media

Georgia is new No. 3 behind Ohio State, Indiana in AP Top 25

The Big Ten Conference championship game will be a battle of the top two teams in the Associated Press Top 25 poll a...
Texans upend Colts 20-16, tightening AFC South race with controversial go-ahead drive

The AFC South isn't where you'd expect to find a definitive answer to that age-old question of irresistible force vs. immovable object. But hey, this has been an odd year in the NFL already, so why not delve into the world of theoretical philosophy?

On Sunday afternoon, at least, the immovable object won out. That would be the Houston Texans and their league-leading total defense (264.3 yards per game), who defeated the Indianapolis Colts and their league-leading scoring offenseby a final score of 20-16. Sunday marked the first game all season that Indianapolis failed to score at least 20 points.

As you'd expect for a game of this nature, the two sides were never separated by more than a single possessional all game. And thanks to Houston's highly controversial touchdown drive in the fourth quarter, this game could be a pivotal one in the race for the AFC South title.

The game saw two teams heading in opposite directions. After a surprising and hot start, Indianapolis has cooled off significantly in recent weeks, losing two of its past three and needing overtime to get a win against Atlanta in Berlin. While Jonathan Taylor remains one of the league's most effective offensive weapons, quarterback Daniel Jones has settled back to Earth in recent games.

Houston, meanwhile, is attempting to become the second team to lose its first three games and still make the playoffs … after the Houston Texans themselves, who also pulled off the feat in 2018. Since losing those first three, Houston had won six of eight coming into Sunday.

CJ Stroud and the Houston Texans looked to even up the AFC South against Indianapolis. (Dylan Buell/Getty Images)

Through the first three quarters, the teams exchanged blows and scores — a Houston field goal here, an Indianapolis touchdown there. Through three quarters, the game was tied at 13 … exactly as you'd expect.

Houston's first drive of the fourth quarter is one that will haunt Indianapolis for some time, particularly if the Colts can't secure the division. Over the course of the drive, the Texans appeared to commit an uncalled delay-of-game penalty, and then a questionable pass interference call on third-and-15 gave Houston a fresh set of downs deep in Indianapolis territory. Nico Collins scored on an end-around run

To end the drive on a perfectly enraging note for Colts fans, ahighly debatable extra pointfrom Kai'imi Fairbairn appeared to fly wide to the left, but since the ball sailed above the goalpost, the good/no good call was a judgment rather than an absolute fact.

One Colts field goal later, Indianapolis' defense dug deep and held strong against two straight Houston tush pushes, forcing a turnover on downs with less than five minutes remaining.

That set up a statement drive for both teams' key asset — the Colts' offense and the Texans' defense — and while Indianapolis marched all the way to the Houston 31, the Colts turned over the ball on downs with 1:45 remaining. (A missed extra point earlier in the game proved consequential; the Colts could have potentially kicked a field goal to draw the game level were they not down by four.)

Jones, dealing with the effects of a cracked fibula, finished the game with 201 yards passing and two touchdowns, while Taylor was held to just 85 yards. On the Houston side, C.J. Stroud returned from a three-week injury layoff due to a concussion to throw for 276 yards; Collins and Nick Chubb each rushed for touchdowns on the afternoon.

With the win, Houston (7-5) continues its assault on the standings, tightening up the AFC South and setting up a potential key tiebreaker over Indianapolis (8-4).

One key question for Indianapolis going forward: thestatus of cornerback Sauce Gardner, who suffered a calf injuryjust three plays into the game. Soon afterward, he was in street clothes and a walking boot on the Indianapolis sideline. A surprising pickup from the Jets at the trade deadline, Gardner is one of the game's finest cornerbacks, and any lengthy absence will burden the Colts' defense that much more.

When you factor in theJaguars, who annihilated the Titans on Sundayto move to 8-4, the AFC South is suddenly a highly competitive division, which exactly no one would have predicted when the Colts won seven of their first eight.

Indianapolis has two games remaining against Jacksonville, starting next week, and one more against Houston. The Texans, meanwhile, are done with their divisional play except for that regular-season finale against Indianapolis … which is looking more consequential by the week.

Texans upend Colts 20-16, tightening AFC South race with controversial go-ahead drive

The AFC South isn't where you'd expect to find a definitive answer to that age-old question of irresistible forc...
Oregon would get bye as No. 4 seed and Texas A&M would play at home on AP Top 25-based CFP bracket

Oregon would receive a coveted top-four seed and Texas A&M would play a first-round home game in the biggest changes to the College Football Playoff mock bracket based on the latestAssociated Press Top 25.

Texas A&M slipped from No. 3 to No. 7 in Sunday's AP poll, allowing Oregon to move up one spot to No. 4. That would give the Big Ten three of the top four seeds, with Ohio State No. 1 and Indiana No. 2. Georgia of the SEC would be No. 3. Top-four seeds earn byes to the quarterfinals.

Now that the Atlantic Coast Conference championship game matchup is set, Virginia would bump Miami out of the bracket as the league's highest-ranked team in the AP poll (Virginia will play unranked Duke in the title game). Miami had held that spot in last week's bracket while still alive for the conference title game.

The Southeastern Conference has five of the 12 teams on the bracket. The Big Ten has three teams and the Big 12, ACC and Sun Belt one each. Notre Dame would be in as an independent. The CFP committee will release its fourthrankingsof the season Tuesday night.

Based on the AP Top 25, the CFP would open like this:

— No. 9 seed Notre Dame at No. 8 seed Oklahoma. Winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State.

— No. 12 seed James Madison at No. 5 Texas Tech. Winner vs. No. 4 Oregon.

— No. 10 seed Alabama at No. 7 Texas A&M. Winner vs. No. 2 Indiana.

— No. 11 seed Virginia at No. 6 Mississippi. Winner vs. No. 3 Georgia.

The first three teams outside the bracket: BYU, Miami and Vanderbilt.

BYU is ranked No. 11 by the AP but would get bumped by Virginia of the ACC. Miami is No. 12 in the AP poll but would be bumped to make room for Group of Five representative James Madison of the Sun Belt.

The five highest-ranked conference champions automatically qualify for the CFP, but no longer do the four highest-ranked champions receive a first-round bye.The 12-team bracket is now seeded directly based on the CFP's final rankingson Dec. 7.

The top four seeds will be assigned to quarterfinals in ranking order and in consideration of current bowl relationships. This year, quarterfinal winners advance to the semifinals at the Fiesta Bowl and the Peach Bowl. The No. 1 seed would receive preferential placement based on geography.

Teams ranked Nos. 5-12 by the CFP will play in the first round, with the higher seeds hosting the lower seeds either on campus or at other sites designated by the higher-seeded school. First-round games are Dec. 19 and 20, quarterfinals Dec. 31 and Jan. 1, semifinals Jan. 8 and 9 and the championship game is Jan. 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida.

Get poll alerts and updates on the AP Top 25 throughout the season. Sign uphereandhere(AP News mobile app). AP college football:https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-pollandhttps://apnews.com/hub/college-football

Oregon would get bye as No. 4 seed and Texas A&M would play at home on AP Top 25-based CFP bracket

Oregon would receive a coveted top-four seed and Texas A&M would play a first-round home game in the biggest changes...
Matthew Stafford sets record for most TDs without an interception, then immediately throws 2 interceptions

Matthew Stafford finally threw an interception. But he secured his place in NFL history before the giveaway.

In the first quarter of Sunday's game against the Carolina Panthers, Stafford found Davante Adams in the end zone for a 4-yard touchdown pass. The score gave the Los Angeles Rams a 7-0 lead. And it put Stafford in the NFL history book.

STAFFORD ➡️ ADAMSName a better goal line duo this season 👀(via@NFL)pic.twitter.com/GRgVSHyIEM

— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports)November 30, 2025

The touchdown was Stafford's 28th straight this season in a span in which he did not throw an interception. That's the most touchdowns without an interception in NFL history. He was previously tied with Tom Brady at 27.

Stafford entered Sunday having thrown 30 touchdowns and just two interceptions while leading the Rams to an NFC-best 9-2 record. He hadn't thrown an interception since a Week 3 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles.

[Get more Rams news: Los Angeles team feed]

But Stafford didn't extend the record Sunday. On the very next Rams possession, Stafford threw a red-zone pass that got tipped at the line of scrimmage. The ball bounced high into the air, and Panthers safety Nick Scott picked it off in the end zone.

Then on the next Rams possession, Stafford threw another one. And this one didn't get tipped.

Stafford targeted Puka Nacua in the flat near midfield. But Panthers cornerback Mike Jackson jumped the route and intercepted the ball at the Los Angeles 48. He ran untouched from there to the end zone for a pick 6 and a 14-7 Panthers lead.

The pair of interceptions doubled Stafford's total this season in which he'd joined Drake Make for the lead in the MVP race.

It's been a remarkable season and one that has the Rams in Super Bowl contention. But Stafford would certainly like to have those two passes back.

Matthew Stafford sets record for most TDs without an interception, then immediately throws 2 interceptions

Matthew Stafford finally threw an interception. But he secured his place in NFL history before the giveaway. I...

 

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